Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.002493 0.002644 0.002805 0.002991 0.003203 0.003437 0.003718
2025-05-04 0.002326 0.002540 0.002783 0.003083 0.003452 0.003898 0.004497
2025-05-11 0.002165 0.002412 0.002705 0.003085 0.003581 0.004230 0.005193
2025-05-18 0.002086 0.002367 0.002711 0.003180 0.003831 0.004754 0.006295
2025-05-25 0.001977 0.002271 0.002639 0.003159 0.003912 0.005051 0.007159
2025-06-01 0.001872 0.002168 0.002548 0.003096 0.003919 0.005232 0.007888
2025-06-08 0.001830 0.002144 0.002555 0.003167 0.004133 0.005792 0.009660
2025-06-15 0.001785 0.002110 0.002545 0.003211 0.004307 0.006330 0.011824
2025-06-22 0.001717 0.002040 0.002479 0.003163 0.004319 0.006556 0.013369
2025-06-29 0.001652 0.001972 0.002410 0.003102 0.004299 0.006710 0.014885
2025-07-06 0.001598 0.001916 0.002355 0.003058 0.004303 0.006921 0.016961
2025-07-13 0.001514 0.001814 0.002229 0.002893 0.004067 0.006527 0.015874
2025-07-20 0.001478 0.001781 0.002204 0.002894 0.004149 0.006937 0.019742
2025-07-27 0.001464 0.001778 0.002223 0.002969 0.004389 0.007851 0.031278
2025-08-03 0.001431 0.001746 0.002198 0.002967 0.004474 0.008391 0.046788
2025-08-10 0.001422 0.001747 0.002223 0.003054 0.004762 0.009739 0.193493
2025-08-17 0.001389 0.001712 0.002189 0.003033 0.004809 0.010309 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001350 0.001667 0.002137 0.002975 0.004762 0.010498 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001339 0.001665 0.002152 0.003041 0.005021 0.012211 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001325 0.001654 0.002154 0.003081 0.005229 0.013999 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001294 0.001618 0.002113 0.003036 0.005206 0.014495 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001262 0.001581 0.002067 0.002980 0.005144 0.014717 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001235 0.001549 0.002031 0.002940 0.005122 0.015224 NaN